Well, the markets are sailing along and all is good. All the stories for the last little while have been about the impending correction and it hasn't happened yet. That said, we are bound to have at least a 10% correction soon, although it may not come until May or June, as the typical summer slowdown sets in (last year, April was weak).
For now, I am up 2.1% YTD, so I am on target so far of my 2011 goal of 1% return per month. The overall markets have done better than that but I am never fully invested so my returns are a bit lower (and easier to stomach the ups and downs).
Currently, I am just over 60% invested overall (I was as high as 80% invested in early February). I currently own CP, FTT, G, HBU, HFU, HGU, L, LIF.un, PBN, PGD, PWF, SNC, T, THI, and TRP. There may be more stocks that I will be looking to buy next week as well, but I haven't looked at the moving averages yet this weekend. Monday is a holiday so there is no rush.
I will admit that the thought of a significant correction soon is a bit worrisome but I can't let it make me abandon my investment strategy (or I would have sold everything months ago, and missed out on the recent gains). For now, I will stay the course and just make sure I have stop losses in place for my largest positions.
Saturday, February 19, 2011
Monday, January 31, 2011
First Month of 2011 is in the Books
Even though the US stock markets have had a good month, the Canadian stocks weren't quite as possitive for me. For January, I am down slightly (-0.24%, so I am pretty much even). I am currently about 65% invested, so I own quite a few equities but I still have alot of cash on the sidelines.
I currently own BCE, BIN, CCO, CLS, COS, CP, ECA, FM, ENF, HFU, HXU, HSE, MBT, PBN, PGD, PMZ.UN, REI.UN, RUS, S, SC, and T. I am up in all but five of these securities at the moment, and only one of them is down more than $100 total since I purchased it (SC, as it dropped $2 per share when it was announced their CEO would be leaving the company).
I was up on CCO the last couple of days so I just doubled the position today. I have decided that I not only want to sell stocks if they start to go down but I also want to buy more of a stock that is moving up nicely. That means that my initial purchase of a stock is meant to be the first half of the position and the stock performance will determine if I purchase the second half or simply sell the first half. It is naive to think that I will buy stocks and they will always go up right away so this protects me by not investing the full amount. This also makes it easier to invest larger sums of money as my portfolio grows, as I never want to own more than 20 or 25 securities at the most.
For tomorrow, there are a few stocks that are nicely in 'BUY' territory - HQU, AGU, LIF.un, and MFC. I will put in stop buys tonight and pick up any of these stocks / ETF's that continue to rise in the next couple of days (I put my stop buys in for two day expiries now, so I have to do less updates). Oil has had a nice run lately and HOU and CNQ both went into BUY territory today but I wait until the second day in buy territory to buy so I will have to wait on those. I already own HSE, ECA, COS, and PBN so I am already well-positioned to benefit from higher energy prices.
I currently own BCE, BIN, CCO, CLS, COS, CP, ECA, FM, ENF, HFU, HXU, HSE, MBT, PBN, PGD, PMZ.UN, REI.UN, RUS, S, SC, and T. I am up in all but five of these securities at the moment, and only one of them is down more than $100 total since I purchased it (SC, as it dropped $2 per share when it was announced their CEO would be leaving the company).
I was up on CCO the last couple of days so I just doubled the position today. I have decided that I not only want to sell stocks if they start to go down but I also want to buy more of a stock that is moving up nicely. That means that my initial purchase of a stock is meant to be the first half of the position and the stock performance will determine if I purchase the second half or simply sell the first half. It is naive to think that I will buy stocks and they will always go up right away so this protects me by not investing the full amount. This also makes it easier to invest larger sums of money as my portfolio grows, as I never want to own more than 20 or 25 securities at the most.
For tomorrow, there are a few stocks that are nicely in 'BUY' territory - HQU, AGU, LIF.un, and MFC. I will put in stop buys tonight and pick up any of these stocks / ETF's that continue to rise in the next couple of days (I put my stop buys in for two day expiries now, so I have to do less updates). Oil has had a nice run lately and HOU and CNQ both went into BUY territory today but I wait until the second day in buy territory to buy so I will have to wait on those. I already own HSE, ECA, COS, and PBN so I am already well-positioned to benefit from higher energy prices.
Sunday, January 2, 2011
Another Year Wrapped Up
Well, 2010 is now officially in the books. I ended the year with a 7.7% return for the year - below my original goal of 1% gain per month but ahead of my revised goal of 0.5% gain per month. I finished behind the 2010 gains for the major indices (TSX, S&P, NASDAQ, etc.) but I only averaged an investment rate of about 50% for the year (with the rest in cash at any given time, ready to deploy), so I had an easier time sleeping at night than if I had all my cash invested and had to put up with the big market swings all year. I finished 2010 near my high for the year (up 8%), which I hit on December 30th.
Going into 2011 (Canadian trading to begin on Tuesday, January 4), I am 33% invested with the rest in cash. I currently own ARE, BIN, HSE, OCX, S, SC, TRP, and YLO. For Tuesday, I am looking at more securities that are in BUY territory - HNU, BBD.b, COS.un, ECA, LIF.un, PWF, and QBR.b. I am also looking at CCO, which is already in HOLD territory and the outlook for uranium looks positive for 2011.
I will also deposit $5K into my TSFA account on Tuesday, to get the money in there as soon as I can. It will be the third year that we are eligible to contribute to the TFSA and the third year that I have done so. My original $10K is up to $12,760 so I have over a 25% return so far (I am am sure there are many people with better TFSA returns, but I am happy with this). I know I won't be able to keep this up every year but after 20 years of putting money into the TFSA I hope to have a tidy sum there to augment my RRSP and cash accounts.
Looking back over the last 26 months, I have monthly gains in 21 of those months, I was down in 4 of those months, and I was even for 1. Although I go trade by trade according to the moving average graphs, I do evaluate my performance on both a monthly and yearly basis.
I am still looking to refine my approach somewhat to make the returns even better and to reduce the amount of time I spend on looking at my stocks (even though I only spend 15 minutes per day now). One of the things that I started doing was putting in stop losses to protect gains even when I wasn't near the sell indicator on the graphs.
For January, I plan to ONLY sell when the graphs tell me to and to try to trust the difficulty of getting through the lines to maintain gains. There are many securities that I sold on a gain during weakness that then continued to move up and I never got back into them again. The ETF's for the indices, like HQU, HSU, and HXU are prime examples of this. I made money on them all but I was stopped out of them early and missed subsequent large gains over the coming months. I will evaluate in January how this approach works out for me and report back here.
I wish everyone a profitable 2011 and I hope you had good gains in 2010. If you have any questions or comments, please post them here and I will be happy to respond.
Going into 2011 (Canadian trading to begin on Tuesday, January 4), I am 33% invested with the rest in cash. I currently own ARE, BIN, HSE, OCX, S, SC, TRP, and YLO. For Tuesday, I am looking at more securities that are in BUY territory - HNU, BBD.b, COS.un, ECA, LIF.un, PWF, and QBR.b. I am also looking at CCO, which is already in HOLD territory and the outlook for uranium looks positive for 2011.
I will also deposit $5K into my TSFA account on Tuesday, to get the money in there as soon as I can. It will be the third year that we are eligible to contribute to the TFSA and the third year that I have done so. My original $10K is up to $12,760 so I have over a 25% return so far (I am am sure there are many people with better TFSA returns, but I am happy with this). I know I won't be able to keep this up every year but after 20 years of putting money into the TFSA I hope to have a tidy sum there to augment my RRSP and cash accounts.
Looking back over the last 26 months, I have monthly gains in 21 of those months, I was down in 4 of those months, and I was even for 1. Although I go trade by trade according to the moving average graphs, I do evaluate my performance on both a monthly and yearly basis.
I am still looking to refine my approach somewhat to make the returns even better and to reduce the amount of time I spend on looking at my stocks (even though I only spend 15 minutes per day now). One of the things that I started doing was putting in stop losses to protect gains even when I wasn't near the sell indicator on the graphs.
For January, I plan to ONLY sell when the graphs tell me to and to try to trust the difficulty of getting through the lines to maintain gains. There are many securities that I sold on a gain during weakness that then continued to move up and I never got back into them again. The ETF's for the indices, like HQU, HSU, and HXU are prime examples of this. I made money on them all but I was stopped out of them early and missed subsequent large gains over the coming months. I will evaluate in January how this approach works out for me and report back here.
I wish everyone a profitable 2011 and I hope you had good gains in 2010. If you have any questions or comments, please post them here and I will be happy to respond.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
